January + February review: +112 units (+4.3% ROI)

It seems like I have to sum up two months at once since I can’t seem to get the updates out in time. I blame my two little girls, other work and life in general.

Seriously, I honestly do appreciate the feedback and questions I get about both this blog and about Bettin.gs. I try to get at least one update written every month, but still the other life seems to get in the way one way or another.

Anyway, enough with excuses and onto the update. It’s been a decent start of the year.

January + February 2019
January 2019
February 2019

Tipsters

Nishi Kori and Fut Unver – my two Pyckio tipsters – are keeping the flags high and are the most busy tipsters these months and luckily, they’ve been profitable. 150 units in profit is pretty close to what I expect the portfolio to generate in total over two months, and these guys did it themselves.

Golf Betting Expert has also found a few winners, as did Festival Value Service and On The Oche. These would cover up for The Betting Man and Master Racing Tipster, who had a bit more tough time.

I’ve got two takeaways from this month. The first one is that my patience with horse racing tipsters is very small, dues to the fact that I know so little about the sport, so when they don’t deliver I find it hard to deal with psychologically. I was almost about to kick Master Racing Tipster out, but then I, as I often do, look back over the long term results and changed my mind. That service has a long history in the portfolio so it’s not hard to convince myself to keep him a while longer. Note to self: Go back and check the long term results more often.

Pro Footy Tips has had a disastrous time since he left Betting Gods and partnered with Blogabet instead. Now the tips seem to have stopped entirely, which in my world makes both Blogabet and Pro Footy Tips seem quite unreliable. I also find Blogabet a bit hard to use, so kind of good riddance I guess. Maybe it’s the designer in me but I find even the most basic interface on that site extremely hard to understand.

With that said, Po Footy Tipster is out of the portfolio, which makes Fut Unver the only football tipster at the moment. Who would have thought… I’ve got a few lined up in my trial account so there might be a more busy next season but I won’t upgrade them into the portfolio just yet.

Staking changes

I’ve decided to up the stake for Nishi Kori and Fut Unver from March. They’re performing so well so I need to take advantage of it to make the most of the services. I’ve got some other staking changes coming up as well, but I haven’t decided if I should wait for the next season for them or not. I probably will.

That’s all I’ve got for now. Cheers!

December review: -40 units (-3.86% ROI)

Two ways to look at this month: One week of bad form from too many tipsters, or one month of continually disastrous results from one is all it takes to ruin an entire month.

This time it was one of my favourite football tipsters, Pro Footy Tips, that underperformed. I’ve been upping the stakes for that service after his successful results so far (10.3% ROI from 522 tips), so when he doesn’t deliver, the portfolio suffers.

Result graph for December 2018.

Tipsters

Pro Footy Tips was down 74.2 units (-48.2% ROI). He also decided to retire his other service (documented as Pro Footy Tips 2 here) as it seemed like his lower odds system simply wasn’t profitable (tough going to figure that out after going live…).

One the good side Fut Unver continued to deliver the units (+48.6 units, +16.6% ROI) and Golf Betting Expert found a winner to go +31.1 units (+94.3% ROI) from just 12 bets. On The Oche went +17.1 units (+18.7%) from the PDC World Championships.

Meanwhile, Master Racing Tipster continues to struggle with -9.6 units (-6.5% ROI). It’s been a boring 2018 for him, one of my longest lived services. Let’s hope for a more lucrative 2019.

Tipster results for December 2018.

In other news…

I’ve updated the stats page on Bettin.gs, so more info than ever is available. It’s now possible to see more stats based on all the info that you’ve registered, such as the biggest drawdown (how big was the biggest losing streak) and Return On Capital (based on the bank you’ve allocated for each tipster)

The stats page also has more advanced graphs and tables overall, though there are things to work on both usability wise and performance wise.

November review: -31.5 units (-2.35% ROI)

After the very nice October it went a bit downhill in November. My golfing tipsters had a rough time which has made me think more than twice about how much impact they have on the portfolio in the short term, and perhaps more importantly what impact it has to me psychologically. Probably gonna to something on that front for the new year.

Results for November 2018.

Tipsters

Fut Unver is making it hard for me to say anything less that he’s my absolute top tipster at the moment and has been for a while. He’s on a 15% ROI from 274 bets right now!

It was a pretty nice month in general except for the golfers, as mentioned. Also, tennis season is over, as is baseball season and more or less golf season from now on.

The world championships of darts is coming in December though, so more action to be expected from On The Oche. looking forward to that.

Results per tipster for November 2018.

 

Here’s to a nice ending to the year. I hope you’ve all had a profitable 2018 so far!

October review: +102 units (+6.34% ROI)

Again, a very delayed report, so a very short summary here.

Great month for Fut Unver, Master Racing Tipster, Golf Betting Expert  and Swingform. Bad month for Nishi Kori.  Decent for all others. All in all very nice.

Tipsters

Results per tipster for October 2018.
Results per tipster for October 2018.

The year is coming to and end, which means time to summarize the year, decide who to keep and who to add and if there are any other changes worthy to be made.

There will be another monthly review or two before I go into what’s new for the new year. Talk to you soon again.

September review: -31 units (-1.77% ROI)

Late report, apologies, but life puzzle kids work yada yada yada…

A decent month if it wasn’t for the golf. That sport has a huge impact on the portfolio’s result, given two tipsters with the high highs and low lows as it is. This month it tipped the scale over to the red side unfortunately. I’m probably gonna reduce that to one to reduce a bit of the variance.

Results for September 2018.
Results for September 2018.

I’ve been betting on MLB for half of this this season, counting on pretty high turnover and not as high ROI. Last month resulted in a 4.33 units profit and an ROI of +0.98%. All bets I’ve been on shows a loss of 21.5 units and an ROI of -1.68%. Not very impressive and it’s unlikely the result will be back in black before the season ends, but I’m happy enough with the service from Clear Data Sports to be willing to try it again next season. Also excited to see how my numbers stands against their own and what their analysis sounds like. There’s no shortage of openness and analysis from these guys so it’s almost worth to follow the service just to get an insight to their process.

Tipsters

Tipsters results Septenber 2018

Fut Unver has started the football season in style. It has shown to be a reliable service so far, with a clear strategy and solid results. Up 88 units from 62 bets with an ROI of +28.5%!

Master Racing Tipster had a rough month with a strike rate below 20%. For other horse racing tipsters that wouldn’t be so bad, but for someone relying on the shorter odds it’s expensive. Down almost 47 units (-41.2% ROI).

On The Oche had a great month with 28 units up (+46% ROI) and my own bets showed +16 units and an ROI of 21.3%. If only there were more dart markets to bet at OTO would be a very lucrative service to follow.

Nishi Kori had a rough month, Pro Footy tips has barely started and Swingform is just grinding on.

Danilo Pereira had a winning month, gladly. His numbers have been far from as impressive as I’ve expected, but that mostly due to his poor performance when it comes to internationals. I’d be better off just following his Brazilian domestic tips.

In other news…

Over at Bettin.gs I’ve improved the possibilities to manage tipsters. For example, it’s now possible to add a starting bank that will be used later on to calculate Return on Capital. That’s a number that I’m very curious about and eager to apply on this portfolio.

You can also add notes per tipster and more nitty gritty stuff.

That’s all for now. Over and out!

August review: +306.7 units (+18.1% ROI)

Oh, the joy of golf betting. Golf Betting Expert manage to find the winner in all 4 tournaments of the month, which – naturally – resulted in a massive profit. 333 units at an incredible +328% ROI.

That’s golf betting in a nutshell. Unrealistic numbers when looking at them short term, but potentially very profitable in the long run. Golf Betting Expert is currently at a total of +452 units (+22.5% ROI) from 944 bets since December 2016.

General results from August 2018

Tipsters

As you might have figured out, there wasn’t much action among the other tipster this month. Swingform, the other golf tipster, also managed to find some winners (the two actually found the same one at a point, spot the spike in the graph…) and ended at +37 units (+37.9% ROI).

Other than that, there were mostly red numbers. Small numbers, but still red.

Pro Footy Tips is back. A different strategy this time as it seems. Let’s see what effect it has the results going forward. I’ve got high expectations from this service!

Sports

Even if baseball (Clear Data Sports) should do better, I really enjoy the process of betting in the sport. There’s lots of data available and there’s no shortage of people trying to interpret them at pretty much every level. I’m not an expert at all, but following it all makes it a great sport and service to follow. If the results follow, that is.

NFL season is underway, and while Clear Data Sport are crunching the numbers there as well, I need to do some testing there before adding their service in that sport into the portfolio.

The diversity is alright in the portfolio right now. Just wishing for a basketball tipster. I have one on the radar, but waiting for the season to start there right now.

In other news…

My personal bets are underperforming, both in numbers and results. Just 26 bets in August, hoping to find the time to raise that number in the months to come.

Anyway, that’s it for this time. Feel free to follow my results at Bettin.gs, as always.

July review: +8.8 units (+0.71% ROI)

The losing run from June never seemed to end and continued long into July, where things finally started going the right way again. Slowly and steadily I made my way back and somehow ended the month in a small profit.

I think it’s the biggest downturn I’ve had in the portfolio and I’m glad to see how my bankroll handled it. I’d love to compare downturns over time – probably something I’ll need to build into Bettin.gs!

July 2018 numbers
July 2018

Tipsters

Danilo Pereira came back in style with 73 units won and an ROI of almost 49% and Nishi Kori was a solid service to lean on as it was the most active one with 77 bets. 37 units and +9.7% ROI from him.

On the other end of the spectra we find Golf Betting Expert who had another losing month, as well as Master Racing Tipster whose winning run has clearly come to and end.

I’ve added the baseball service I’ve been having on trial for a while. I thought half way into the MLB season would be a good time for that and while the first 69 bets hasn’t shown profit, I’m excited to see what it’ll bring. It’s Clear Data Sports, an American service based on a few different models in different sports.

Tipsters July 2018
Tipsters July 2018

In other news…

All leagues are ramping up and football is here again. Expecting quite a few more bets than the 328 this month.

June review: -51 units (-4% ROI)

Not much time for analyzing unfortunately due to reasons, but I did not expect June to end in red after going +100 units the first week. What a terrible run I’m on at the moment.

Tipsters

A quick look at the tipster table shows what’s going on. No luck with the golf (been a while now), and I had a terrible world cup with my own bets, but above all – Danilo Pereira with another huge losing month after some horrendous tipping. Almost 76 units down for an ROI at -22.6%. Quite an achievement at those odds (2.17 on average) from 62 bets.

In other news

Bet Alchemist is out of the portfolio. I’ve mentioned before that I’m finding it hard to motivate betting on horses, and I’ve never really found a way to place his bets (each-eay or win only) that’s felt suitable for me. Plus he only publishes his tips on a website that sucks balls to navigate. A good horse tipster in the long run though for sure, but it’s not for me.

This leaves me with just 7 tipsters in the portfolio which leaves room for at least one or two more. I’ve got two lined up among my tipsters on trial, but if you have any tips whatsoever, feel free to add a comment. Cheers.

May review: +61.8 units (+4.4% ROI)

A lot to be happy about this month. The results weren’t extreme in any way, and that’s what I like. The profits kept coming in a steady pace, at least until a dip eventually arrived at the end of the month.

Summary

404 bets is a clear sign that the seasons for the most popular sports are coming to an end.

General stats May 2018

Sports

Almost more tennis bets than football bets, that says something. I surely don’t mind as long as the profits look like this. 84 units from tennis alone.

Tipsters

It’s Nishi Kori at the top of the list with both most bets and most units in profit. Golf Betting Expert finally turned things around with a nice month and 42 units in.

Surprisingly, Danilo Pereira was one of the least successful tipsters and I don’t expect that to happen very often. He is, and should be, one of the most predictable services I follow.

Not much to say about the others except that Fut Unver finished his fantastic debut season on top. Looking forward to the next one.

When it comes to Bet Alchemist I decided to go back to each way betting, but it turns out it’s just too much hassle getting both the win and the place bet matched at the exchanges so I’m going back to placing win bets only. I’ll keep the stake a bit lower (2 units) that I used to though.

In other news…

World Cup is around the corner and I’ve placed a few pre-tournament bets already. I’m using a separate hashtag for all those bets at Bettin.gs of course to follow up easily.

I’m tracking a couple of MLB and NBA services on the side and as it seems, it’s quite likely they’ll be added to the portfolio once next years seasons begin. That’ll be 2019 though…

April review: -124 units (-7.1% ROI)

I got a disappointing email from Betting Gods, where Pro Footy Tips decided to end his services from out out nowhere. Apart from it being unserious and unprofessional, it’s a shame for my personal portfolio as it was a very profitable service to follow. From 450 bets in 13 months, he made 231 units of profit for an ROI of +15.4% for me (minus charges).

So one football tipster shorter from now on. I’ll probably replace him somehow, but not sure how and when. Most likely not until the start of next season, after the summer.

April was a pretty poor month overall, with a long and frustrating losing streak wiping out the early winnings and causing the month to end in red.

Summary

448 bets with a strike rate of 29.2% is pretty close to normal, but too many tipsters showing too big losses to make it a good month.

General stats April 2018

Sports

Tipsters

Master Racing Tipster finally got on a good run, but that didn’t help much since Bet Alchemist, Nishi Kori, Football Investor and not least Golf Betting Expert showed some blood red numbers.

Football Investor has had a very poor season and that isn’t quite like him at all if you look at the previous seasons. Looking forward to the end of season review to hear his comments. I’m undecided to keep him in the portfolio, partly based on the trend this year but also that it’s a low frequent service and if a more active tipster shows up, I might go for that instead.

 

Also, it’s time for Golf Betting Expert to step up. Swingform on the other hand nailed the 3 first places in a tournament this month.

May has started nicely, let’s hope it’s a sign of better times to come.

Update: Forgot to mention that I’ve changed the staking strategy a bit for Bet Alchemist. Despite the fact that there are bigger wins to be expected in the long run by betting win only, I’ve decided to go for an each-way strategy instead. I find the swings a bit too extreme for my own liking. I prefer a more steady development in this portfolio. I’ve also reduced the stakes a bit. They are 1 unit each way for his bets from now on.